Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
February 8, 2016

CBO Reaffirms: Immigration Bill Cuts Deficit $900 Billion Over 20 Years

(Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

(Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

The Congressional Budget Office said Tuesday that the immigration overhaul being pushed by House Democrats — and nearly identical to the version that passed out of committee in the Senate — would slice the deficit by about $900 billion over 20 years.

In a letter to Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., CBO Executive Director Douglas Elmendorf essentially reiterated the CBO’s earlier forecast for the Senate’s overhaul, while noting that the House version, H.R. 15, does not include $38 billion for border security in the first 10 years like the bill that passed the Senate. The CBO has estimated nearly $200 billion in cost savings in the first decade and about $700 billion in the second.

That forecast assumes the bill would increase the U.S. population by about 10 million people over a decade while legalizing an additional 8 million immigrants here illegally.

The forecast may be moot, however, given that Speaker John A. Boehner, R-Ohio, has vowed not to bring up the Senate bill and has laid out immigration principles for a GOP-led effort instead. Those principles, which include a path to citizenship for people brought here illegally as children and legal status but no “special” path to citizenship for those here illegally, only have the public support of 18 members of the House GOP, according to our CQ Roll Call whip count.

  • SATX Politico

    Pleasantly surprised, but I reserve the right to be disappointed until I read the full report.

  • Layla

    If you think Washington has any credibility left with the voters, you are wrong. Go ahead, vote in amnesty, and it WILL result in the entire Congress being sent home. These people are LAW BREAKERS, criminals who knowingly broke our laws to come here and mooch off us. This administration will NEVER shut down our borders and the people know it. We are tired of being the piggy bank for Obama and Democrat special interests. DONE!

    • Unknown1776

      they don’t mooch off of us, but rather work as hard as they can to provide for their families both here in the States, as well as in their home country. They just want to be able to work and provide for their families just as any other person would.

  • Santiago Alemedia

    The study is based on the assumption that legal immigrants create businesses and jobs. However, it does not take into account that illegal immigrants have no intention of contributing and have a culture of circumventing the law and work in an underground economy.

  • radsenior

    Who’s here illegally?
    PBS program outlining the peril Hispanic/Latinos endured as people of color in America.
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    The Bracero program (1942 through 1964) allowed Mexican nationals to take temporary agricultural work in the United States. Over the program’s 22-year life, more than 4.5 million Mexican nationals were legally contracted for work in the United States (some individuals returned several times on different contracts). Mexican peasants, desperate for cash work, were willing to take jobs at wages scorned by most Americans. The Braceros’ presence had a significant effect on the business of farming and the culture of the United States. The Bracero program fed the circular migration patterns of Mexicans into the U.S.

    On August 4, 1942, the U.S. and the Mexican government instituted the Bracero program. Thousands of impoverished Mexicans abandoned their rural communities and headed north to work as braceros.

    • butchm

      Then they shouldn’t *choose* to sneak in to our country.

      • radsenior

        Re-read the “Bracero Program” part! That was a federal agreement between countries!

        • butchm

          That program end half a century ago and has nothing to do with the illegals sneaking in today.

          • radsenior

            You do no have a clue at all! There are more undocumented workers who have been here longer than 40 to 50 years. We blend in exceptionally well as many of us have German blood in our veins. We look white, act white, talk white and are pure Mexican. True some still get into the states like those hundreds recently caught in Houston, Texas.The “Bracero Program created second, third and fourth generations who vote. And we remember how our parents used to have to pay a “Poll Tax.”

          • butchm

            Many more illegals sneak into the US today than even during the height of the bracero program. Additionally, braceros’s were legally allowed to temporary work permits while today’s illegals are just that. Regardless, it has little resemblance to the immigration problems of today other than the usual suspects are still breaking our laws. Here we are in 2014, Mexico has the 13th largest GDP in the world and illegals are still pouring over our borders. Though now, it is not a matter of survival like it may have been 50 years ago, but rather a false sense of entitlement.

          • radsenior

            If you do not live in a border state, you do not know! Undocumented will return to the families they left behind to take cafe of business back in their home nations, like family burials or even protecting family from narco’s. You have absolutely no clue!

          • butchm

            The reentry rate for illegals, let’s face it the reason they are “undocumented” is because they are illegal aliens, is 46%.

            Regardless, this is completely different than the bracero program you are so nostalgic about. Only 25,000 visas were issued to Mexico last year yet over 500,000 illegals sneaked in.

          • radsenior

            Again! You have no clue! I closer to Homeland Security than you’ll ever be. I have first-hand info! Your numbers are fabricated!

          • Butch McSnuttch

            No, I’ve posted the source – the numbers are accurate. You just seem ignorantly opposed to the truth because it conflicts with your agenda and baseless claims. Feel free to try and support your empty assertion with official data or consider yourself dismissed.

          • radsenior

            You’re dismissed. Bury your head again!

          • butchm

            Typical. You bring nothing to the table but ad hominen attacks and can’t substantiate any of your claims. The thread is here for any reasonable person to observe your failure to make any valid points.

            Americans overwhelmingly oppose amnesty and illegal immigration:

  • papal

    More useless numbers from the CBO. It means selling out our country, letting the law makers off the hook for not enforcing our laws, and making perhaps up to 20 millions lawbreakers legal for a 45 billion a year. Compared to the 17000 billion we are in debt now, it is meaningless, but that doesn’t stop DC from coming up with new ideas for amnesty

  • Connor Vlakancic

    20 years for a mere $900 Billion is only $45 Billion a year (starting when anybody sees their income tax bill decrease). OBama’s insurance debockle is wasting that amount in a fraction of the time. The current deficit (as of: October 30, 2013) is $680 Billion a year.

  • W Daniel Tate

    A household needs to earn $60,000 annually while paying taxes to just break even on services provided. How does 10 million new, low income residents create $900 billion. the question should be, how much over 20 years will the US make/save, if we enforce our current immigration laws.

  • Tom Smith

    “The Congressional Budget Office said Tuesday that the immigration overhaul being pushed by House Democrats… would slice the deficit by about $900 billion over 20 years.

    Nobody believes that bullshit.
    We all know there is no way illiterate ditch diggers from Central Mexico
    and their anchor babies
    are going to pay into the system more than they get out of it.

  • dion4037 .

    The racist is killing me here. If you morons think that a fence or wall or even border patrol will bend the will of millions of people your sadly mistaken.

    People of Mexican decent have been in the southwest long before it became America. Hell look up the 1847 Disturnell Map map and the four corners region shows that the Aztecs originated there.

    To turn back people of their native land is nothing short of ridiculous and disgusting.

    • rmill2k

      I’m glad you make this point, Dion, because it illuminates exactly what this is all about. Your argument, essentially is that Mexicans have an inherent right to come here because to you, this is ‘stolen land’. That’s why people talk about ‘immigrant rights’ rather than illegal aliens, even those these people by definition aren’t immigrants, because immigrants are people who are invited into a sovereign nation to settle legally.

      If you think that U.S. laws mean nothing, that we have no sovereign right to our country’s borders or to select who comes here, fine, that’s your real argument, and seeing that you are concentrating on one particular ethnic group, it’s simply racist. Fine, but just own up to it. Don’t dress up a racist stance with fake BS about ‘the will of the people’ or ‘compassion’ .

      • dion4037 .

        Those people have the same right to be here just like you and me. No one has a right to drive people from their native land. And the land was pretty much stolen historical facts prove that.

        Americans are so quick to say “go back to your own country!” or “this is our country”. But I just don’t understand how you people find that you have anymore rights to be in the Southwest than the people who have native ties to it! Its just flat out ridiculous.

        More Hispanic leaders like mayor Castro will rise in the very near future and the Southwest will eventually become even more than it is now full of people who support Immigration Reform.

        It really doesn’t matter what you and I think the proof is in the numbers people are going to continue to come here regardless whats built or what laws or signed. That is the will of the people.

  • Santiago Alemedia

    This whole “Comprehensive Immigration Reform” baloney is just like the NAFTA, WMDs, Iraq War, Bank Bailout full court press that DC power brokers pushed on us before. Average Americans and legal residents will get the shaft while well-connected and wealthy will reap big rewards. All in the name of Humanity, of course.


    How sad that men like John Boehner will stand in the way of the passing of the unemployment extension bill that would help the more than two million unemployed workers and their families without benefits, and the means to survive economically, while seeking employment. How can he claim to be for fiscal responsibility when millions of our tax payers dollars are going to fund corporate welfare and foreign aid? When tax payers dollars were spent on bailing out the Banking and Airline industries, amongst other companies, where was their “fiscal responsibility” and budgetary concerns then? Why is helping the average working American worker and families, not as important? I’m looking forward to the 2016 election. You will see these millions of voters show their distain and anger towards these career politicans in the voting booths.

  • The Roadster

    Yet another democrat working to shove America’s children further into the hock of hostile foreign governments:

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