Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
December 19, 2014

President George W. Obama Meets the Midterms

I certainly didn’t know foreign policy would be front and center in the final months before the midterm elections when I wrote in late April that these issues “could have an indirect yet significant impact on the midterm elections.”

But now, it looks increasingly as if foreign policy — particularly problems in the Middle East and relations with Russia — will add to the president’s woes.

While international issues are a low priority to most Americans, the daily dose of bad news from the Middle East, Russia and Ukraine makes it difficult for the public to appreciate any good economic data and will likely depress the public mood. That’s important given that Election Day is just three months away (and voting starts even earlier in some states).

Obama’s problems certainly are not identical to those of President George W. Bush in 2006, when opposition to the Iraq War mobilized Democrats and independents against the White House, sinking the GOP and turning both chambers of Congress to the Democrats. And yet, it’s difficult to miss parallels between the two men and their situations.

Bush had some serious domestic challenges that also contributed to his weakness going into the 2006 midterms, including a dramatic slide in his job approval numbers following his politically deaf dealings with fallout from Hurricane Katrina.

But Obama has had his share of domestic challenges too. A majority of Americans disapprove of his handling of the economy and a plurality remain unhappy with the Affordable Care Act, even after the Administration has spent years trying to sell it. Now the president has a crisis at the border. And of course, there is the inevitable fatigue voters feel after six years of any presidency.

As uncomfortable as it will make Democrats, Obama heads into the final three months of the campaign not looking all that different from his predecessor, President Bush.

In a July 21-24, 2006, survey conducted by Peter Hart and Bill McInturff for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal, Bush’s job ratings stood at 39 percent approve/56 percent disapprove. Gallup had very similar numbers in its July 28-30, 2006, survey: 40 percent approve/56 percent disapprove.  

President Obama’s job performance numbers in the most recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, conducted June 11-15 are only slightly better at 41 percent approve/53 percent disapprove. And that survey found only 37 percent of respondents saying they approved of the job the president was doing handling foreign policy, while 57 percent disapproved. 

A July 23-27 ABC News/Washington Post poll found a plurality of Americans disapproving of the president’s handling of international affairs (46 approve/50 percent disapprove).

Of course, the current occupant of the White House has one thing going in his favor that Bush didn’t have heading into his second midterm election: a divided Congress.

Republicans controlled the House, the Senate and the White House going into the 2006 midterms, so it was easy for Democrats to blame everything on Bush and his party. The current control of Congress — a Republican House and a Democratic Senate — makes it easier for each party to point fingers at the other for the country’s shortcomings.

That, plus the GOP’s proven ability to pull defeat from the jaws of victory, could help Democrats avoid the worst possible outcome.

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  • http://www.admala.org Gentil Aquitaine

    The X factor today, of course, is how fundamentally divided the GOP is. They may well win the Senate in November, but they are so divided and lacking in credible leadership, they may well destroy themselves politically in 2015 and 2016 and get wiped out in the General Elections.

    • takeresponsibility

      I not so sure the GOP is divided, however, it may appear that way to some, I think the debate on how to proceed and the compromise which must take place within the GOP is healthy, now if the Dems in the Senate led by Reid and the President could engage in a healthy, non finger pointing debate over what is best for the people and the country then maybe we can obtain fair compromise rather than the typical capitulation the GOP has done in the past. We can see the policies of this President and the policies put in place by the then democrat controlled congress have done little to move the country forward so maybe the message in November needs to be sent to work together and not ram legislation down the American people’s throat. Compromise it worked well since the founding and only in the last 10 years or so has this become a non workable solution.

    • HenryC

      They are united in the opposition of progressive policy. This means that government will, at least, not expand. They only reason they seem divided is they have no way to accomplish any of the different policies thought about. Thus none of the policies are ever decided on.

      • Wellstone

        They are only united in their opposition to Obama. Policy and governance? The GOP is neither acquainted nor do they even have the slightest inclination to get involved with those two suckers.

        “Government IS teh Problem!!”. QED.

      • http://www.admala.org Gentil Aquitaine

        Being ‘united’ against progressive policy–supposed progressive policy, anyway–isn’t enough to overcome the radical differences between the Randian set and Southern Evangelicals. The need an economic agenda they can both agree on. Supply Side no longer suffices in his regard. It’s run its course. It’s as dead as Friedman’s rotting corpse. 35 years of Supply Side policy have got us the economy we have today. The GOP has to do better.

    • OBUMYA

      Oh. We are divided. But we won.

      Oh. Gee.

      Dems: we lose, but we are united in our arrogant stupidity. Love, N. Pelosi and H. Reid.

      • http://www.admala.org Gentil Aquitaine

        The only reason they will win is lack of voter turnout… which is almost certain in November.

  • KristenSuzanneM

    No, the real X Factor is the regressive Democrat party who put all those eggs in their Obama basket. Think again how little Democrats stand for a single thing that is essentially American; how much Obama, the titular head of the Democrat Party hates, despises and loathes America, Americans, the country’s military and yes even the middle class.. GWB didn’t hate America but Barack Hussein Obama does. And while the Democrat Party should stand for something, it’s like Barry’s Reverend Wright said..all those chickens are coming home to roost…and it’s actually for Democrats not Republicans…even for the establishment DC political hacks of both parties will realize that….

    • Wellstone

      No, the real Xfactor is how deluded and hate-filled the Right continues to be, Pray they remain that way.

      • OBUMYA

        we dont hate people…which is why hating liberals is so easy.

        Next?

        • Wellstone

          Please. Hold on to that hate. Embrace it.

          • bigpencil

            We hate liars. And failures. Both of which barry is the poster child for.

      • chaos344

        Wellstone: Your message and your game is old and in serious need of a
        makeover. Myself and many others have been looking at your beady-eyed
        avatar and listening to your liberal-progressive rants for years, both
        on this website and many others. We all recognize the fact that you are
        an ideological troll who has no life outside blogging and posting on the
        internet. We also know that you would defend Obama and his policy
        decisions, even if he was videotaped pitch-forking babies on the White
        House lawn. Your viewpoints and opinions are most often rejected out of
        hand, because you are so obviously partisan as to negate any possibility
        of objectivity or critical thinking. You are nescient if you think your
        comments will convert anyone to the progressive agenda. The only
        individuals you might have any chance of winning over are low
        information voters, and those individuals do not frequent these types of
        forums!

        So, you need to get a life, even if it’s only origami or
        clipping coupons. You have no credibility, vis-a-vis someone who is
        objective or erudite enough to sway intelligent opinion!

        • Wellstone

          Vis-a-vis? Them’s Ivy League words. Happy you enjoy my stylings.

          • chaos344

            Never said you were totally ignorant, just ideologically intractable. Ignorance can be remedied by education and knowledge, but you can’t fix stupid!

        • Reginald Love

          pretty good analysis of the liberal troll mind, you should develop it into an article

      • f_this_state

        You’re praying for people to remain hate-filled? Even if everyone accepts your argument that they are hate-filled, how psychotic must a person be to pray that other people remain filled with hate?

        That’s kind of a sad commentary on your mindset and on your life. You’re praying for people to keep hating other people. That’s really disturbing. You’re praying for hatred to perpetuate. Wow. Maybe you should talk to your doctor about these feelings?

        • Sherlocktoo

          It is not a matter of hating people, but hating what people refuse to stand for, or what they stand against. Isn’t it time to understand and know what works and what doesn’t? Good intentions cannot be used as an excuse forever. Just take a closer look at all the failed liberal policies.

      • John

        Pray that you don’t get Ebola after your president brought it here

      • Enzyte Bob

        ^^^ #waronwomen

        Why do you hate Kristen so much?

      • Goreloon

        Why do you hate the Browns on the border? Shame on you for not going down their and taking some to your home…you can make around $7000/month..paid by us..if you take in seven!!

      • diazontour

        Unlike you, of course!

    • caseykc

      We stand for “freedom of religion” NOT imposing Christian beliefs on everyone. AKA Separation of church and state

      We stand for “equal rights for everyone” NOT just corporations, slave owners and the wealthy. AKA all men are created equal

      We stand for “freedom to breath clean air and drink clean water” NOT pollute, pillage and plunger. AKA the right to the pursuit of happiness

      We stand for “continuing to lead the world towards progress” NOT turn our back on humanity because it costs too much. AKA Greatest country on earth

      We stand for “respecting truth” NOT relying on religious arguments, insane spin and science denial. AKA all of the founding fathers were well educated intellectuals

      We stand for “not invading every country in the world” NOT bomb bomb bomb IRAN, WMD… no really they will show up, the Iraqi people will welcome our bombs AKA Thou shall not kill

      We stand for “helping children at all costs” NOT go home or starve or die in the desert or be killed by a gang war… we don’t care. AKA “Give me your tired, your poor, Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, The wretched refuse of your teeming shore”

      We stand for America, the People and the Future NOT the Church, the Money and the Past. AKA Declaration of Independence

      • Its_All_Baloney

        I stand for reality. Keep dreaming.

        And perhaps you could discuss that “we stand for truth” thing with Bill “the meaning of ‘is’” Clinton, Hillary “the video made them do it” Clinton, or Barry “if you like your health insurance, you can keep your health insurance, Period” the Magnificent.

        Perhaps you could explore that “we don’t bomb other countries” idea with Bill Clinton, who bombed Iraq and Bosnia, or Barry Obama who bombed Libya into anarchy and drastically increased our presence in Afghanistan while abandoning all we had won at such cost in Iraq; all while dropping missiles from drones on American citizens without anything resembling due process.

        How does one “lead the world towards progress” from behind? Have you been watching the economy at all? Your rich corporations and slave owners — whoever they are in a country that outlawed slavery generations ago — are making out like bandits, while middle class families have seen both earnings and wealth decrease steadily throughout Obama’s time in office.

        Your arguments are based on fantasy, the flimsiest of partisan talking points, and a healthy dose of denial. Good Democrat. Here’s a frozen herring for you.

        Actually my biggest question should probably be, why am I wasting my time dealing with such a ridiculously uninformed post?

  • jaimo

    All the issues that George Bush had to contend with domestically including Katrina should have been the same with Obama, like Hurricane Sandy, all the flooding in the midwest and the only thing we get out of the POS is a hug from Chris Christie. There are still people in Jersey who are still living in cardboard boxes next to their demolished homes. NIce job brownie.

    • Wellstone

      Except Obama actually WENT there, and moved mountains to get people help. Christie and his wife have been a total FAIL in getting things done, and NJ knows it.

      • StoutCortez

        Obama did absolutely nothing to help victims of Sandy. Talked a good game for a while, but never did anything.

        • Wellstone

          No, he only mobilized FEMA like crazy and made his whole Cabinet go there.

          “…Following the meetings, Administration officials will visit storm-damaged communities throughout the affected region, see response efforts first hand, and make sure that necessary resources are getting to state and local partners who are still responding and beginning recovery efforts. Secretary [Shaun] Donovan will visit public housing developments in the Rockaways and tour Breezy Point, New York, to hear from state and local officials and see first-hand the damage and recovery efforts there. Secretary [Kathleen] Sebelius will visit with hospital workers, residents impacted by the storm, and local officials in Manhattan and Brooklyn, New York. [Small Business Administration] Administrator [Karen] Mills will join Governor [Dan] Malloy and other state and local officials in Norwalk and Bridgeport, Connecticut, to meet with small business owners and other residents affected by the storm. Secretary [Janet] Napolitano will travel to West Virginia and Long Island, New York to see response and recovery efforts underway.

          Even Chris Christie could not say enough about the support he received from the White House.

          • neversaynever10

            I like this phrase…..” mobilized FEMA like crazy….”

            Is this like hyper speed or something?

            Most presidents would just tell FEMA to do whatever needed to be done….. Not Obama….. No, he mobilizes ‘em like crazy.

          • Goreloon

            And don’t forget he moved mountains like Moses!

      • OBUMYA

        went where, to the border? Oh wait he does not do photo ops, as he tells us while shootin’ pool, drinkin beer, offered a joint and…my fav…taking a selfie with Horse Head Boy (I assume Pajama Boy was too busy getting his “Androgynous Strain” Tattoo…).

        Obama: Present-Lite

      • Yashmak

        You do realize that the response to Katrina was the single largest FEMA response in the history of the nation, right? And that a hindsight review of the events demonstrated that local and state governments were far more responsible for the bobbled initial response than the federal government. . . .but once the narrative was established, it was too late for Bush.

        • Wellstone

          The response to Katrina was weeks late and millions of dollars short. And the President’s lack of engagement and compassion hurt his approval ratings deeply, because Americans saw it with their own eyes.

          • Yashmak

            You very well portray the narrative that took hold at the time, deserved or not.

          • Wellstone

            Narratives that take hold are called “History”.

          • Yashmak

            Yep, and even the historical record can be found to be untrue.

          • bigpencil

            Love the lib sheep’s retelling of the Katrina story, always conveniently leaving out the fact that ALL FAULT lies with the idiot DEMOCRATIC MAYOR and DEMOCRATIC GOVERNOR of NO and LA.

          • inyouri

            More falsehoods about Katrina from the media matter types. Did your Mommy ever tell you that lying is bad.If only Nagan was as good as a mayor as he is a crook:

            Former New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin was sentenced Wednesday to 10 years in prison for bribery, money laundering and other corruption that spanned his two terms as mayor.

            Free republic:

            “Just before midnight on August 26, three days before Katrina was to make landfall, Kathleen Blanco received a phone call from George Bush. The president had been through a series of briefings from Deputy Chief of Staff Joe Hagin and knew the potential dangers to New Orleans and the surrounding area from a storm the size of Katrina. Now he was attempting to convince the Governor of Louisiana that she needed to take immediate action. His pleas fell on deaf ears. It seemed that the Governor was more concerned with the legalities of accepting federal assistance, and the appearance that her office could not handle the
            emergency.”

  • HenryGomez

    “Of course, the current occupant of the White House has one thing going in his favor that Bush didn’t have heading into his second midterm election: a divided Congress.”

    Uh. Two things. That and a compliant media that carries water for him.

    • Wellstone

      You think this Rothenberg piece is “compliant”? Here, have another sip of Kool-Aid

      • Walkuere

        Yes, no doubt this one online Rothenberg piece on RollCall more than offsets the combined water carrying coming from ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, NYT, WP, LAT, ….

      • HenryGomez

        Uh, no. I don’t think Rothenberg is representative of the media. The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Associated Press, ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN are.

      • Wellstone

        So, the biggest name in Cable News, FOX, and the largest daily newspaper in America, the WSJ, are “compliant media” too? Victims, much?

        • Yashmak

          7%. That’s how many journalists identify themselves as conservatives.

          • Wellstone

            Now tell me how many true Journalists let their personal inclinations define their reporting.

          • pauls

            none…but nowadays there are very few true journalists

          • Yashmak

            First you tell me how many of our representatives and senators put the good of the nation before the success of their party.

          • HenryGomez

            Bias isn’t a conscious phenomenon. Study up on the subject. I have no doubt most of the journalists earnestly believe they’re reporting down the middle despite their own political views. But again, bias isn’t conscious. We all have biases.

          • f_this_state

            So it went from the media isn’t liberal, to they don’t let their bias define their reporting. So you turned away from the objective argument once you lost it and are now making a subjective argument.

            You’ve already admitted you’re a paid troll, maybe they should lower your wages, you aren’t doing so well.

          • James Madison

            None. But the MSM outlets are not staffed by true Journalists.

          • johnnydavis1

            All of them…just like the bias in your comments.

          • Nemo_of_Erehwon

            Isn’t there a well-known logical fallacy involving Scotsman? I think Wellstone has succumbed to it, almost word for word.

          • cookiebob

            100% duh!

          • Walkuere

            93% (for the math challenged that’s 100% – 7%)

          • manapp99

            All of them. You can’t hide from personal biases.

        • HenryGomez

          The biggest name in Cable News is the biggest name only because it’s the only media outlet that goes against the grain and presents conservative viewpoints as reasonable. The WSJ has always had a conservative editorial board and a liberal reporting staff. Their reportage tends to reflect the other major media. You bring up two examples that are the exceptions that prove the rule. Neither the WSJ nor Fox set the coverage agenda for the rest of the media like the NYT, WAPO and AP.

        • James Madison

          Liberals invented being a victim. Everything the left does or says is derived in some way from victimization of someone or something. The entire strategy for the left is to divide people into groups, convince each that is it is a victim, then turn it against another group (guess which group gets blamed).

          Each victimhood, black, lgbt, single mother, woman, muslim, illegal immigrant, etc., exponentially increases their hatred of that one group responsible for all the misery and hatred in the world- CONSERVATIVES!

          Their constant theme is race and sexuality, their tone is always shrill and their proclamations intolerant.

      • f_this_state

        Hey look, it’s that troll that admitted they get paid to flag people.

        https://disqus.com/home/discussion/thehill-v4/mcconnell039s_wife_responds_to_dem_attacks_in_new_ad

        Match the comments in their profile to that page. They admit they get paid to flag people.

      • Goreloon

        Hi Wellstoned……you are all alone here…how’s it feel….need a hug??

    • Kowboy4Life

      The Left Wing Media Bias is a myth!

      • OBUMYA

        to liberals….the rest of us are intelligent.

        next?

      • Yashmak

        Not according to the media. Per their own surveys, only 7% of journalists self identify as conservative.

      • HenryGomez

        That unbiased media can exist is a myth. We’re the only industrialized country in the world that insists that its media is unbiased. Go to the UK or any other modern country, get in a cb and ask the driver which is the left leaning paper and which is the right leaning paper and they’ll tell you. Ask 10 cabbies and they’ll give you the same answers.

      • James Madison

        HAHA!! That is rich. Any thinking adult can see the bias. Liberals deny it because they want to believe their ideas stand on their own merits rather than being propped up (Weekend at Bernie’s style) by a bathwater drinking MSM.

        Since 2008 we have had the biggest media blackout in American history on anything concerning politics or the utter failure that is Obama.

        If the media had done even 10% of the job on Obama that it would have done on a Republican with no experience, a dubious background, completely sealed records, and a long attendance record at a racist church, he would have never gotten near the White House once, much less twice. But they did not. Everything was covered up (or blamed on racism) and the excitement of electing a (partly) black candidate trumped all.

        He’s a failure dems. There is no way to save it, no way to deny it, and no way to hide it. This has been a farce and joke from the start. It’s obvious and the pain is starting to set in for the average American. It has now been proven for all to see what happens when you put an arrogant, self-worshiping community organizer in as POTUS instead of a seasoned leader who has the experience, knowledge, leadership skills, and temperament to to POTUS.

        He had it all and he blew it. And the democratic party’s chickens will be coming home to roost. “YES YOU DID!”

        • Kowboy4Life

          Still a myth! Conservatives use the Left Wing Media bias myth as a distraction from their own failed policies.

          • diazontour

            I don’t think this poster understands the definition of “myth”.

      • dogged

        “War is Peace”
        “Freedom is Slavery”
        “Ignorance is Strength” — Orwell

        • Its_All_Baloney

          Orwell only said it. That other ‘O’ — O’bama — is making us live it.

    • Dirk Diggler

      Yes, a compliant media that gave the Tea Party and Fox news 24/7 news coverage, free publicity, promoted them as a ‘grassroots’ movement (not the case). Assisted in promoting Trump and others silly claims about birth, birth certificate, muslim religion, …Not sure what compliant media you’re watching. The MSM was basically an enabler to right wing spin machines and innuendos that had no basis in fact. Where is Donald Trump’s investigative team sent to Hawaii? The MSM loves a good rumour, it drives eyeballs, clicks, ooohs and ahhs…

      • HenryGomez

        Take off your tinfoil hat. It’s the MSM that painted the Tea Party as astroturf and Occupy as a legitimate movement. The MSM never vetted Obama while sending all kinds of reporters to Alaska.

  • Raconteur

    In the brand new NBC News/Washington Post poll, only 11% are satisfied with President Obama’s handling of the chaos at the US. southern border…64% are dissatisfied.

    And now…Obama is poised to implement another amnesty for illegal immigrants.

    November 4th.

    Vote.

    • Wellstone

      What amnesty? I keep hearing the Right trying to fearmonger and instill hatred and outrage about these Brown Children, but normal people, and I even include George Will in that, ain’t buying it.
      I only see Konservatives frothing at the mouth.

      • Raconteur

        THIS amnesty, Wellstone:

        http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/obama-readies-executive-action-to-legalize-millions-of-undocumented-immigrants/2014/08/01/222ae2e8-18f8-11e4-85b6-c1451e622637_story.html

        “President Obama is preparing to announce new measures that would potentially allow millions of illegal immigrants to remain in the United States without fear of deportation, a politically explosive decision that could jolt Washington just weeks before the midterm elections, according to people who have been in touch with the White House.”

        • Wellstone

          Thanks for the link. Key point here:

          “..White House officials emphasized that Obama has not made a final decision, noting that aides are still working on a formal menu of options for him on potential policy changes.”

          • Raconteur

            It’s true that his plunging poll numbers and the whining of incumbent Congressional Democrats seeking reelection in November might influence President Obama, Wellstone.

            We’ll see.

            Obama’s clearly not interested in what American voters think.

            Will he refrain from further damaging the Democratic Party?

            I doubt it.

      • StoutCortez

        Yeah, and the right is screaming day and night about impeaching poor little Barry, too.

        Obama wants total amnesty and a 100% permanently open (north only) southern border, and you know it.

        • Wellstone

          He’s never said that, ever.

          • Mugged By Reality

            So what? He did it. Actions speak louder than words.

          • Wellstone

            He did it? When?

          • johnnydavis1

            If he had actually said it, we could confuse it with the other lies that he tells. On the other hand, his actions match what StoutCortez is saying.

      • OBUMYA

        obviously you neither read not think…you are, of course, a liberal.

        Next?

        • Wellstone

          Glad you found that obvious. Next.

          • OBUMYA

            I find most liberals to be obvious.

            And boorish, annoying and devoid of intellect.

            Kid, you are out matched. Seriously, you are embarrassing yourself again….

          • Wellstone

            Really? I thought I was beating you down.

          • Bob Musil

            Did you ever think for a moment that you might be wrong? That there might be people who are intelligent, not boorish and can easily better you in any kind of test of the intellect that you claim to have?
            Or are you a schmuck with a subnormal intellect?

      • pauls

        Those kids are brown? I guess that is an important fact to you…to me what is important is not what color they are but whether we can alleviate the underlying problem…why are parents in central and south america willing to send their children off to risk death and misery simply to cross the US border? It is in large part that things are so horrible in their home…I ask what has the US state dept done under Clinton or Kerry to engage these countries, offer our assistance in restoring peace, or even leaning on governments to get control of the violence. The answer is the dems really dont care to improve the lives of these people where they live…It is also in part because Obama has promised to not deport kids brought illegally into this country which gives these children’s parents hope that if only they can get their kids in then Obama will let them follow…which is exactly what he is proposing…this lax policy under the guise of compassion will only cause more children to be placed at risk of death and suffering in hopes of staying…Sometimes what appears to be compassion only adds to the problem.

        • Wellstone

          Let the kids in.

          • Yashmak

            yeah, why consider the costs or consequences? Let’s do what FEELS right, rather than made a considered decision.

          • bigpencil

            How many can we put you down for, Mr. Sheep?

          • pauls

            Ok but in doing so we admitt that it is our president’s failed policy and our state department’s unwillingness to engage those countries of origin to provide necessary assistance that has cause this problem in the first place

      • Yashmak

        Interesting that color matters to you. All that matters to me is that they’re entering illegally, and apparently from a large number of different nations. It is folly to expect a lawful contribution to our society from those willing to break our laws just to come in the door. As such, blanket amnesty is also folly.

        • Wellstone

          That’s because you have no heart. And people can tell.

          • Yashmak

            Not so. My heart is just in the right place is all. My compassion and concern for the welfare of others places primacy on my fellow American citizens. As should the concerns of our federal government. It’s their reason for existence, after all.

          • Its_All_Baloney

            That is perhaps the most ridiculous comment I’ve ever read on Disqus. You distinguish yourself. Congratulations.

          • June Maulfair

            Expecting the laws of our country to be obeyed is heartless? We already send millions of dollars in foreign aid to the home countries of everyone coming here illegally. Do you hate (to use YOUR lexicon) your fellow citizens so much that you would subject them to years of stagnant wages and higher taxes to pay for the presence of all these illegal aliens? Enough is enough.

      • OBUMYA

        Hmm brown children. is Obama black? White, Caramel, Mocha? How much have you donated to help the children? Did you start with the Black Children in our inner cities who face far greater violence than the “brown” children or like most libs are you one who talks, and tells others how to behave?

        What we have here folks is a Sheila Jackson Lee liberal, who hands out lollipops and tells us how important she is for ruining their teeth..

      • diazontour

        Is that K in conservative supposed to stand for KKK? So incredibly clever and not hate-filled in the least. What a hypocrite!

    • http://www.gamers-loft.net/ Aaron Deskins

      I’m not satisfied, I think we need immigration reform that makes it easier to become citizens of our once great country founded on the backs of migrant workers across the span of American History.

      So please, don’t group my dissatisfaction with ya’lls bigotry of wanting internment camps for “browns”.

  • conradbirdie

    the feckless loser

    golf golf golf

    joke of the world

    when you make a bad move

    you OBAMA’D

  • Wellstone

    By August 2006, GW Bush’s approval was recovering slightly to the mid-40′s after having been in the low 30′s for months. He was, of course, heading to that bitter 25%

    Rasmussen Daily Tracking has had President Obama between 45 and 50% for months, and is at 47% today. Yawn.

    • StoutCortez

      Lowest point ever in several recent polls, too. See you in early November.

      • Wellstone

        Lowest point ever is just a few points from his 45-50% average, though.

        Yes, November can’t come soon enough. I want to hear Rothenberg and other GOP pundits try to explain how the Democrats managed to hold onto the Senate.

        • lichau

          Let’s see–November. That is when you change your avatar, right?

    • Raconteur

      Stop “cherry-picking” the polls, Wellstone.

      Here are the current job approval numbers for President Obama…from ALL of the nation’s prominent polling organizations:

      http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/obama-job-approval

      http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

      That ought to wake you up.

      • Wellstone

        Yawn. You guys are so desperate to find a reason to believe!

        Dose of Reality:

        RCP average: 41.4%
        Pollster average: 43.1%

        • Raconteur

          lol, Wellstone.

          You’re the one sounding increasingly delusional.

          You probably still believe Democrats will hold the U.S. Senate.

          • Wellstone

            Read the piece above:

            “.. the GOP’s proven ability to pull defeat from the jaws of victory, could help Democrats avoid the worst possible outcome.”

            I think Dems can and will pull out most of these, especially if these candidates fall for the Immigration trap the President has set.

            Nunn v Perdue
            Grimes v McConnell
            Landrieu v Cassidy
            Shaheen v Brown
            Pryor v Cotton
            Warner v Gillespie
            Hagan v Tillis
            Udall v Garner
            Begich v Sullivan
            Merkley v Wehby
            Peters v Land

          • pauls

            Landrieu, Hagan, Pryor, and Grimes are already toast….Landrieu, Hagan and Pryor are incumbants who are not polling even close to 50% and in all three cases are behind the challenger…that is the kiss of death every time…McConnell is in solid shape as well…polling at 50%…the close ones are Nunn, Begich and Peters…no clue how they go…the rest the dems look good

          • daniel155

            Michelle Nunn is having trouble with authenticity. You may have read about the script for her that her consultants wrote and that was accidentally made public. Alison Lundergan Grimes also has “authenticity” problems and makes gaffs. It will be difficult to insulate her from questions until the election.

            Democrats are the favorites in four out of the twelve races on that list and the rest are, at least, 50-50 shots for Republicans. Close races tend to break the same way particularly if Obama issues an executive order before the election on amnesty that would make even tougher on the red state Democrats.

            I think Senate Democrats have met privately with the President to discourage that.

          • Raconteur

            See ya on November 5th, Wellstone…

            The morning after.

            I’ll be around.

            We’ll chat about the new U.S. Senate.

            I’ll keep an eye out for you.

    • OBUMYA

      Kid 30% of the electorate would vote for Obama if he came out as pedophillic tranny with serial killer tendencies…

      • Wellstone

        And 33% would never vote for him, even if he had Jesus and Ronald Reagan on the same ticket.

        • OBUMYA

          of course you are referring to the intelligent 33%…

          • Wellstone

            No, the religious 33% who have pictures of both Jesus and Saint Ronnie on their mantel.

          • OBUMYA

            like the libs with pics of Allah and Obama together? Oh ok…

          • OBUMYA

            on velvet I might add…playing poker.

          • Wellstone

            You’ve seen pictures of Allah?? Do tell.

    • Karl Browne

      Seriously. I voted for GWB twice, both times holding my nose. I didn’t support invading Iraq and continue to be mad about how he and the Republican majority expanded government rather than reigning it in. That said… you honestly think Barry is a good President? That he’s providing adequate leadership? Really?

      • Wellstone

        Absolutely. AS someone who watched Obama find the people and find the way to lead this Nation to a recovery from the total Bush FAIL and the collapse of capitalism in late 2008, I honestly believe Obama will be honored as one of the best 10 American Presidents, ever.

        • daniel155

          2001-7 Bush years had higher growth and lower unemployment than 2009 -14 Obama years.

          • Wellstone

            Really? Show me.

          • daniel155

            I don’t do your research for you but don’t take my word for it. Look it up.

          • burnet1187

            “He” didn’t leave the budge deficit… the demorat Congress (control the purse strings) created that mess. The economy was just fine until the demorats took over the House.

          • Yashmak

            Not to mention, the jobs created during his presidency were 7 to 5 full time to part time. . . .where as during this recovery, job creation has been 5 full time jobs to every 7 part time jobs created (last job report was even worse, with 500k full time jobs LOST, to 790k part time jobs created).

          • Wellstone

            That full-time part-time talking point is a crock. Look it up.

          • daniel155

            Look up my point first before you tell others to look it up.

          • Rick Myles

            The unemployment numbers are a total crock. It has improved because they simply do not count the long term unemployed anymore. Instead they say they have left the labor force. What nonsense. There are still 2 million who lost jobs in the 2008-09 recession and have never been able to get a job again. Usually older workers. This is a new phenomenon for the U.S. who previously did not have large numbers of long term (ie: exhausted their benefits) and the accounting for this has not changed to reflect reality. The real unemployment rate is between 9-10%.

          • Yashmak

            Given that it wasn’t reported by CNN, MSNBC, or Reuters, it’s a given that I had to look it up to know about it in the first place. All they reported was the raw numbers.

            And no, it’s not a crock.

        • pauls

          you are being silly just to trying to antagonize…its kinda fun but if you were really dumb enough to believe what you posted…you would not be able to figure out the on-off button on you computer and would instead spend your days drooling and window licking…you are not THAT dumb

    • pauls

      Its called an outlier…only poll in america that has him above 42%…even the slanted CNN polls has him at 42%

      • Garbonzo

        Ras has the strictest criteria for “likely voter”. Not only do you have to say you are very likely to vote, you also have to have voted in the last two elections. It over samples partisans, and after getting burned in 2012, it over samples democrats. Hence the constant outlier status. Their results track with Gallup, meaning when Obama drops in Gallup he also drops in Rassmussen.

    • conservativechick

      The RCP average is at 41% – this is any UGLY chart for Democrats:

      http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

    • Rick Myles

      Looks like Rasmussen has switched over to the liberal side after his pro Republican polling was so wrong in the 2012 election. He is over compensating now to favor Democrats.

  • tess

    it NEVER ceases to amaze me how the media can take a COMPLETE negative like this POS o’dumpos numbers and try to turn them into anything other than the disaster they (and he) are!!!! i guess it’s up to us at the polls to finally put the stake in the heart (if they had one) of the democrap party and all the thugs who run it!

    • Bob Musil

      WOW!! A command of language like that is terrific. Now repeat after me-Momma, Dadda, Pussycat. See, you can do it!!

    • Enzyte Bob

      They get their marching orders from the Journ”O”list. Ezra Klien tells them what to write, they slightly reword it, and print it in today’s rag.

  • daniel155

    I read a similar article by James Carville in the The Hill where he was citing polls and it seemed like he was trying to reassure himself. The Hill and Roll Call should merge because they seem very much the same.

    It is hard to see how the GOP can avoid taking the Senate. They currently have 46 seats currently and are in line for some fairly easy pickups in WV, MT, and SD. That gets them to 49. The races for Republican seats in KY and GA look better because the Democratic challenges there seem to be weakening. A writer for the National Journal wrote that the Democratic candidates in those states have “authenticity” problems.

    That leaves a whole bunch of competitive states;’ many of them 50-50 races for Republicans to pick up two seats. Close races all seem to go the same way and the issues favor the Republicans. If the President uses an executive order before the election to grant large scale amnesty then it will be even tougher sledding for Democrats in red states.

    If things go well then the Republicans could end up with a 55-45 majority.

    • pauls

      It makes no difference if they have 55 as compared to 51

      • daniel155

        The more the merrier

      • Garbonzo

        It pads things for 2016. Every seat over 51 is huge.

      • Rick Myles

        Yes it does because Rinos like Collins and Alexander frequently vote with the Dems. And you can never count on McCain except on defense issues.

      • Enzyte Bob

        Yes it does when Mitch McConnell takes Harry Reid’s filibuster idea and applies it to EVERYTHING.

        • pauls

          Bob, filibuster is not an issue when the minority party in the senate is the same party that controls the white house. The senate does not need to filibuster because the president can veto any law the party does not like…it takes 67 votes to overturn a veto and only 60 for cloture…whatever they can filibuster will be vetoed. Unless the repubs could get 67 (mathmatically impossible) then a majority is all that matters…in the short run at least…there is a good argument that the greater the majority this year the easier it will be to hold in 2016 but I think it unlikely the dems will pick much up in 2016…the pendulum has begun to swing back to the right and will probably do so for another few years before it swings left again….as it has always done in this country

  • Southernationalist

    These numbers should terrify the Communists. Negroes make up 14% of the US population, which means that close to 40% of Obama’s 40% approval rating is Negro. (It is safe to assume that even if Obama were found in bed with a live boy and a dead girl every Negro in America would still support him .) Negro voters are packed into majority Negro districts that the Communists already control. I suspect that Obama is collapsing with reality based White voters who are much more spread out. It is possible that after this election Republicans may find themselves with 250 or more seats.

    • daniel155

      No one says “Negro” any more so I think you are a Democratic poser.

      • Kowboy4Life

        If you’re a Southern Nationalist you do. Read his other 914 posts. He’s not a poser or plant. These guys do still exist in the 21st century.

        • daniel155

          Well you guys can him then because we sure don’t

    • Wellstone

      I love the way you do numbers that can make your head spin with Negroes.
      Wow, a Southern Nationalist? I thought we settled that in 1865.

      • daniel155

        Don’t be so critical of him. He is one of your guys.

        • Wellstone

          No, all the Southern Nationalists left us and joined Dem Konservative Strom Thurmond at the GOP “Southern Strategy” Office back in the late 60′s

          • daniel155

            He is writing like cartoon character so he looks like a poser. Come to think of it, you are writing like a cartoon character also but, unfortunately, that is you and not a act.

            Have a great day!

          • Wellstone

            You too, daniel. Not a cartoon for sure.

          • daniel155

            I’m sorry. What I said about you was kind of snarky and uncalled for.

            Still, have a great day!

    • pauls

      I suspect you are a fraud…but even as such you need real help…while the problems with Obama are obvious to anyone not blinded by partisanship, those problems are not related to communism, race, or socialism…his problems stem from a lack of understanding about how to lead a people with conflicting views…most likely because he was raised by over-indulgent grandparents who always told him he was right. He therefore never learned to compromise or to see the world as others might. His policies and agenda are not well thought out and attempt to reinvent failed policies of the past…not because he is evil or intentionally anti-american but because his belief in his own superior intellect has kept him from learning the lessons of history. He has bungled foreign affairs and turned america into an insignificant world power that nobody any longer consults or cares what we may think…not because he hates america but because he does not understand that blustering, threatening and then capitulating only weakens you in the eyes of the world…but as to you..there is no longer room for people who see race as the cause of all things great and small…most remain…as they always have, in the democrat party…but we should expel you from our nation along with them.

  • Peter Verkooijen

    The social conservative/anti-immigrant “base” will cost the GOP the chance to take over the Senate. After the midterms the business and libertarian wings will turn on the nativist bible thumbers leading up to 2016, rebranding the GOP as a more coherent Liberty party – or the whole thing will go down in flames and DeBlasio/Warren will be in the White House for the next eight years.

    • Enzyte Bob

      LMAO. Riiiiiiight. Like most WHITE people like the idea of the browning of America. What planet are you on?

    • http://www.admala.org Gentil Aquitaine

      I’ve been expecting them to that since Nov 2012. At present, the Dems are gaining sway with the financial sector (which actually runs the country). This is so because, notwithstanding Republican zeal for cutting taxes, the money men worry about handing power over to zealots and market theologists.

    • Goreloon

      WOW Mary….you got one up vote!!

  • aegis

    A Wave Election?

    The consequences for November are ominous for Democrats.

    Republicans are in slightly better shape in the generic-ballot test than they were at this point in 2010, the year that a wave election washed away the Democratic majority in the House.

    The president’s job approval, now at an all-time low of 40 percent (in yesterday’s NBC poll) is 7 points lower than it was four years ago.

    The reality is setting in that Democratic hopes of holding the Senate are winnowing, a realization that could turn a bad year into a rout.

    The president promises more executive action to mobilize base supporters on immigration and corporate taxes, but with numbers like these, Democrats will be increasingly unwilling to hustle for what looks like a lost cause.

    And the harder the president goes in rallying his base, the deeper he will sink in the estimation of moderate voters who are so fed up with his administration.

    Chris Stirewalt
    August 6, 2014

    • tv22

      If Obama overreaches on his amnesty declaration, which he likely will, it will become a wave election. What’s left of middle class Democrats will come flooding over to vote against his policies.

      • Wellstone

        You hope. President has been playing you guys like cheap fiddles, though…

        • daniel155

          No, he was running a bluff. And he got called so now he either has to issue an executive order on amnesty that will damage his party or lose face.

          • chaos344

            ROTFLMAO! Don’t you remember when 0bama famously challenged congress to “Call My Bluff “? What a great poker player! The smartest man in the world said, “I’m bluffing, but I dare you to call me on it.”

        • JadedFan

          Oh Please Mr. President, do not play us anymore.

          Your 40% approval rating and giving 15 democratic seats to the republicans in three months hurts us deep down.

          Whatever you do Br’er ObamaFox DON’T throw us in that briar patch.

        • bigpencil

          Heehee! If you really believe that than you’re even more pathetic than I thought. This “genius” you naive fools fell for is nothing but a fumbling doofus of an incompetent. Smart? Ha, please. Why do you think the little coward keeps his grades locked up tight? Poor lib sheep – such SUCKERS.

        • chaos344

          Wellstone: Actually, you are half right, and I give you that credit begrudgingly. The only people 0bama has been playing like a counterfeit Amati, are LIV’S (Low Information Voters) on the left. A goodly percentage of them are now wise to all the dissemination of bovine excrement, or so disappointed and disengaged, that they will not vote. All the class warfare rhetoric from the Messiah is too little and too late. It will not save you in November!

        • Stop Obamunism Now

          Unfortunately, I have to agree…….

    • JadedFan

      I would bet dimes to dollars Obama’s snarky campaign throwing red meat to the base brings out five republican voters to one democrat.

      I hope he keeps it up, campaigns like that only further enrage a republican and independent electorate who already were angry. And unites them. No Aiken or witch woman this cycle. Thanks Obama, republcians couldn’t have done it without you.

    • Wellstone

      Stirewalt is a FOX hack. Proof: By August 31, 2010, GOP had powered to a 10-point generic ballot lead. Today’s Generic Ballot Avg on RCP has Democrats in the lead.

      • pauls

        no true…neither party has ever had a 10 point lead in the generic ballot poll

        • Wellstone

          “…PRINCETON, NJ August 2010– Republicans lead by 51% to 41% among registered voters in Gallup weekly tracking of 2010 congressional voting preferences. The 10-percentage-point lead is the GOP’s largest so far this year and is its largest in Gallup’s history of tracking the midterm generic ballot for Congress..”

          Your lack of faith in my scholarship is hurting my feelings.

          • chaos344

            Right Wellstone, and neither party cites and cherry-picks the polls that they like, or denigrates the polls that don’t support their position, correct?

      • JadedFan

        Republicans have jumped out to a four-point lead over Democrats on the latest Generic Congressional Ballot after trailing for most weeks this year.

        A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending August 3 finds that 42% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 38% would choose the Democrat instead. It’s the highest level of support for the GOP since late December.

        http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

        And to quote Nate Silver ‘…the generic ballot has tended to overestimate the Democrats’ popular vote performance in the past.’

      • chaos344

        Wellstone: Refresh your memory as it pertains to the expression “Whistling Past The Grave Yard”. Let’s see if you are as prominent on all the blogs, come the morning of the first Wednesday in November!

  • JadedFan

    When are people going to get that republicans are not going to just hand easy red seats to the democrats this cycle? The primaries are over and not a single Aiken or Witch woman upset a more electable republican.

    Unlike 2006 all the contested elections are in states Obama couldn’t win if he handed out thousand dollar bills to voters to vote democrat (which I wouldn’t be surprised if Democrats, and especially Obama did given their complete disregard of the law).

    The wave is coming and it is going to be bigger than anyone imagines.

    Certainly not the people writing about politics who over and over and over again point to polls or registered, or worse the overall population, rather than likely voters as underpinnings of their positions. What the hell does it matter if Hagan holds a one point lead among people who will never show up at the polls if she is down 6 to those who actually will, you know, vote?

    12-15 seante seats will go republican, 25-30 house seats (small because there are no democrats left in the house outside of San Francisco and similar).

    • rene591

      51 TO 49. CASE OF BARQS?

      • chaos344

        I don’t think it will be a tsunami of the 2010 magnitude, but I do think the Reps will pick up 8 senate seats and 10 to 15 house seats. we’ll see?

  • JadedFan

    As an additional thought, the real question is not ‘if’ the republicans take the senate but by how much.

    Because 2016 is when republicans defend the 2010 wave seats, and is a presidential year where more of the democrat base shows. So they will make gains. Republicans need a three seat cushion, so need to take nine seats, to hold the senate in 2016. Then in 2018, especially if democrats hold the presidency, democrats could get wiped out in the senate. The environment is especially bad, even worse than this year, for democrats. 60 senate seats could be red in 2018.

    • rene591

      and in what universe that Obama won in 2008 and 2012 does this happen. you have been predicting every election . only took you 6 years. oh and 2016 will be horrendous for republicans. then they defend ? come on you can do the math? 2010 was republican wave? right ?

      • JadedFan

        2018 democrats will be defending the 2012 election, where red state senate seats were given away, and was a presidential election year when the democratic base shows up. And if the democrats win the whitehouse they will have held the whitehouse for 10 years by then and fatigue with a party who holds the whitehouse that long usually means huge losses for that party in the midterms.

        Also the states defended are overwhelmingly red in 2018.

        I stand by what I said.

        • rene591

          nope. I think the same thing that happen in 2008 and 2012 happens in spades in 2016. past is prologue. now by 2018 who knows. could be independents that are currently 42% will have reached the over 50% and the parties as we know them are gone

      • Dan

        Yes it was. Wide and deep. State houses across the country flipped to the GOP. Some for the first time ever. You keep dreaming though

        • rene591

          divided country. know the largest identified group? 42% independents. but the independents are disgusted with both house republican and house democrat. talk about being a disgrace to the republic we love.

          • Dan

            So 42% are going to vote other than dem or republican ? No way

          • rene591

            time waits for no party. things are changing and if you think the old paradigm still exist I got a bridge to sell you

          • Dan

            Fine. When another party starts winning a noticeable numbers of seats I’ll believe it. I wouldn’t care if both major parties disappeared tomorrow but they have a stranglehold on things for the time being

          • rene591

            got a another prediction. regardless of party identification the next Congress will be more non interventionist and more socially libertarian. just like the country

  • Rick Myles

    Just like 2010 the Democrats and their hacks in the media are delusional. The only ones who truly believe they will maintain a majority in the Senate are Reid and Pelosi. If Obama issues an amnesty, the outrage of independents and conservatives will only ensure an even bigger wave for Republican candidates. So fed up with this lawless and grossly incompetent administration and Senate Democrats who enable it.

  • Heywood Jablowme

    Keep right on whistling past the graveyard, Dems. Music to my ears.

  • tpaine1

    And NOW we discover Iraq’s WMD both in Iraq and Syria!! A decade of the Democrats lying through their teeth AGAIN!!

  • tpaine1

    If, as promised, Obama grants amnesty to another 4,000,000 “illegals” in September, the Democrat’s slaughter in November will turn into a bloodbath.
    For the sake of America’s future, I hope the “new Caesar” follows through on his threat.

  • Democrat EBTbaggers

    Normally, I would say that the chance of Rs taking the Senate would sit around 100%. But, when you throw in deceased Dem voters, Dems voting twice, Dem proxy voters, and stolen/”misplaced” ballots from Republican precincts, I put the chances at a coin flip.

  • rene591

    and this takeover which will be slim will represent what? a minority of the electorate ? and what mandate will that create? not a thing. status quo ante until 2016. Paul vs Warren with nary a neo conservative in sight. Priceless

    • Nessie509

      Maybe that’s the issue with this president’s second term? He was reelected without a mandate and because he wasn’t Romney.

      • rene591

        ah the 47% man and plutocrat extra ordinary . thank god

    • Reginald Love

      Paul versus Warren, that would be perfect lets keep our fingers crossed

    • dogged

      By the time 2016 rolls around, there will be much less wealth for Princess Spreading Bull to redistribute.

      • rene591

        based on your extensive economic background? let see energy independence and no wars. seems pretty good to me

  • shatzy48

    Beware of your dreams they may come true. Suppose the GOP takes the Senate and the Supreme Court upholds the Halbig decision negating healthcare subsidies to people in 36 states. What should the GOP do? Those people will not be able to afford care which puts them in violation of the ACA, and suppose they have to give back what they have already gotten because they received it improperly? Irony of ironies, the GOP may have to fix Obamacare. Do they want to go into 2016 with people holding them accountable for losing their subsidies? No one is going to care that not a single Republican voted for Obamacare. In the immortal word of the Saturday Night Live Church Lady, “Isn’t that special!”

    • Reginald Love

      why not? back obummer into a corner, pass reforms including tax free medical savings accounts, sale of insurance across state lines, state-run high risk pools etc and send it to his desk. If he vetos it then he is just killing the dems chances in 2016

      • Snickersz

        Don’t forget tort reform.

  • Rory

    watermelon boy BHO

  • WBC

    The bookies should be taking bets on how long after leaving office it takes Obama to run to Thailand for his sex reassignment surgery and for Michelle to start letting her beard grow.

    • dogged

      New autobiographies for them to write:
      “Dreams from my Father are your Worst Night Nightmare” by BO
      “The Right to Bare Arms is Sacred” — by Michelle O.

    • Goreloon

      LOL!

    • Robert Neren

      Says the toothless hick.

      • WBC

        Did the comment touch a nerve, cupcake? Take your genital identity crisis elsewhere.

  • Historybuff

    One can only imagine how much better we would be with a fully functional Republican party. Mr. Boehner simply is not a leader… at a time when America badly needs leadership. The ‘progressive’ democratic party may be imploding… but the Conservative side of things are in disarray.

    The country is leaderless… and heading for the rocks.
    HB

    • Snickersz

      Yes, I agree. Boehner has done yeoman’s work as Speaker as he warded off some of the worst of Obama’s initiatives. But it is not enough to just be against something. Newt understood this and came up with the Contract With America. It was very successful and was an element in the Republican takeover of the House in 1994. If Boehner and even McConnell had a hair on their a**, they would come up with something similar that shows what Republicans stand for.

      • Mojo the Awkward

        Honestly, the problem with that is that there are some very strongly divergent elements of the GOP caucus right now – there isn’t a coherent identity to the party, by contrast with the explicitly corporatist-statist identity of the Democratic Party. There is a strong and growing libertarian wing to the GOP, which overlaps heavily with the philosophically minarchist wing; there is a broad consensus on fiscal conservatism which is incoherent with the broad consensus on proactive and militaristic foreign policy; there is the socially conservative Religious Right, which retains a great deal of rhetorical fervor and election-winning heft in certain regions of the country. It’s a party of “One No, Many Yeses,” and the “No” is basically to Obama.

        What’s good is that the party is explicitly moving away from its own complicated corporatist sympathies; there is theoretically at least scope for Republicans to claim the mantle of supporting The Individual and leaving Democrats to defend The Corporations, but there are lots of problematic social issues where the party is currently speaking with very mixed voices that muddy that message. There is no coherent right-wing individualist consensus narrative on immigration, for one salient example. There are very good critiques and presentations from right-wing thinkers, some of them politicians, but nothing that you could coalesce a party around and secure a majority vote on the floor for a plan of action that would woo undecided voters. That’s the challenge the GOP faces: presenting a simple uncluttered message to the electorate when it is grappling with an identity crisis.

        The fecklessness of the Obama administration has been something of a poisoned chalice for Republicans. The dramatic correction of 2010 was only made possible by the tone-deaf autocratism of the Democrats after Obama succeeded to the Presidency, but at the same time it came much too soon for a party that needed desperately to absorb the lessons of its missteps since the Clinton years. It’s a lot harder to face the demanding questions in the mirror when you’ve lucked into undeserved success.

        • Snickersz

          Thanks for the thoughtful response. What you are saying is true, but there have to be maybe three to five things that a majority of Republicans could agree upon. After all, there are some three hundred bills sitting in Harry Reid’s circular file that were passed by Republican votes. Categorize them into five main groups such as jobs, economy, immigration etc. Then put those categories on paper and run with it. This is an over simplification, but it shouldn’t be that hard to come up with three to five ideas that the party can get behind. If they can’t manage that, then we (as a country and as a party) are in worse trouble than I thought.

          • Mojo the Awkward

            Yes, that does seem doable.

            Part of the problem is that the basic frame seems to me to be covered by that Gerald Ford dictum about how the government big enough to give you everything you want is also big enough to take everything you have…
            Democrats promote messages around the first clause there, saying essentially that government can and will solve all these problems in people’s lives, and Republicans take the second, more negative, clause, arguing that government will pose nebulous generic threats if it tries to take all that on.

            The mounting evidence in support of the Republican position there doesn’t really help, because the ARGUMENT is still negative. It’s still fearmongering, rather than hope-seeding. It’s still not inspirational, even if it’s accurate.

            People accept the narratives that support the ones they tell themselves. The Republican narrative is basically that life is hard, things go wrong, and you have to just suck it up and get on with it because really you’re on your own in the final analysis. The Democratic narrative is that life is made hard by evil nemeses that government can thwart on your behalf, you have a civic right to be protected against the fallout of your own mistakes, and somebody else can always afford to bail you out. Statistically, one of those arguments is always going to be more appealing to the masses regardless of its blatant inauthenticity.

            There’s a good percentage of Americans who don’t really believe Democrats are sincere in the promises they make, but who do prefer to operate in a world where everybody pretends that they are, since the alternative is accepting how bad things have gotten and how much must now be sacrificed, on top of what was already wasted, to try to turn the ship of state around.

            Basically, we get the government we deserve.

          • Peter Verkooijen

            The GOP lets the Obamacrat machine set the agenda and write the narrative. Last cycle it was “war on women”, this cycle it is immigration. The clueless conservative base take the bait every time.

  • Boxhawk

    Imagine where Obama’s numbers would be if he didn’t have the media covering for him 24/7.

    • dogged

      If BO didn’t have the worshipful media behind him, we wouldn’t even know his name.
      He would be loafing thru Chicago, sharing a joint with Bill Ayers.

  • fuchsia1

    Dubya had a Secretary of State who could at least fog a mirror. Irrespective of Iraq and Afghanistan… Dubya didn’t have a Mideast crisis of historic proportions. Just FYI, courting the Jewish vote has very little to do with votes… and a lot to do with money. We are witnessing a turning point.

  • dogged

    Ironically, there really is a “George Obama”, Barack’s half-brother, living in Kenya. He was interviewed for Dinesh D’Souza’s “2016–Obama’s America”
    BTW, George has a heluva lot more common sense than his half-brother.

  • valwayne

    6 years of Obama and a democratic Senate that have lied to us and crammed the nightmare of Obama down our throats. 6 years and the economy sucks and the middle class has lost more income under Obama than any President since the Great Depression. Obama is the weakest, most inept, dishonest, incompetent, worthless President on our nations history. Come November we have to go to the polls and kick every lying job killing democrat to the gutter or our nation will never recover.

    • johnwerneken

      Nation will recover; President Obama will not; with Democrats in general and so-called “Progressives” in particular, I think it is way to early to tell. I plan to vote Republican.

  • dailypenny

    Well, your analysis, as usual leaves much too be desired. It is not just the economy that is a problem for Obama although, it is one. It is the growing perception, perhaps not seen by the media so easily, that the Democratic party basically does not know how to govern or run institutions- I would simply witness the IRS scandal, the Obamacare mess, and the VA disaster. Yes, voters, don’t always vote on these things, but you now have a very angry electorate, an incredibly incompetent president (i mean at even basic things) and a sullen Democratic party. Obama has been under water and in the 40′s in approval ratings for almost a year now- comparisons with Bush are ridiculous. Obama and the Dems own this mess and they know the public knows it too.

  • HypnoToad

    Well Obama isn’t as nice, or as smart as Bush, and not nearly as classy, but it is becoming painfully obvious that his major accomplishment was resurrecting the Republican party. Boehner and McConnell didn’t do that, President Zero did. He’s such a colossal F-up that even Salon, carried a headline “An ineffective and gutless presidency’s legacy is failure ” referring to President Zero. And over on American Interest “Smart Diplomacy becoming a punch line.” Thank you Zero!

    • Robert Neren

      The fact that you think Bush is smart says everything I need to know about you.

      • HypnoToad

        Do you have any evidence that Zero is as smart as Bush? No, because the most transparent administration hid what a dim bulb he is. If he had decent SAT scores, they would have been plastered on the front of every commie rag in the country, but instead… crickets… I bet you don’t even know why Lefties have no clue about what half the country believes.

  • Goreloon

    Can you predict the weather too…Sally???

  • Eric M Krehemker

    This column is the op ed comparison of a Seinfeld episode. Its kind of funny but in the end it really does not mean anything.

    • manapp99

      Only if you believe that history does not repeat.

  • SamSmart

    Bush’s unfavorable numbers were, to a great extent, the result of the liberal media trashing him vigorously on a daily basis. Obama’s numbers, though bad, would be much worse if he did not have the liberal media on his side.

    • rene591

      wrong . it was because the Iraq invasion was the greatest strategic disaster in the history of the USA(George Will, Ron Paul etc etc)

      • manapp99

        Really? Greater than Vietnam? 55k American soldiers killed in that one to what avail?

        • rene591

          strategic is the key word. no material change in the situation in east Asia(china still dominant and Vietnam exactly where she was. Iraq? strengthen Iran,threw region into chaos,destroyed American army,wasted trillions of tax dollars(in a time of budget issues and aging population while cutting taxes-galactic stupidity)

          • manapp99

            Apples and oranges. How about comparing Vietnam in 76 with Iraq today?

          • rene591

            ridiculous in the extreme. you really are in the bubble. better???? defending the indefensible. everyone with any knowledge of geopolitical thinking agrees it was a fiasco of galactic proportions

          • manapp99

            Everyone at MSNBC and Comedy Central that is.

          • rene591

            George Will -Column this week. Ron Paul from beginning . and every thinking man from pretty much 2006. know the number of Americans? 77%

          • manapp99

            How many think Iraq a bigger disaster than Vietnam? Got links to those polls?

      • Black_Saint

        You would think someone would use clips of Obama outrageous promises compared to actual results. It shows his narcissism, delusion and mental problems and how stupid people were to believe he could actually walk on water.

  • http://www.gamers-loft.net/ Aaron Deskins

    I haven’t seen any media bias for Democrats, if i’m honest. I just see everyone labeling Obama, Bush Jr.

    In case you Republicans forgot, Bush was hated by Dems about as much as you guys hate Obama. So, for the media to call him Bush Jr consistently, hardly marks the esteem of left-wing bias.

  • Mark Gould

    Sad, this country was in so much worse shape when GWB was President.

  • diazontour

    “A plurality remain unhappy with the Affordable Care Act.” A plurality? I don’t think Mr. Rothenberg understands the definition of plurality because in every poll, by far, a majority of Americans disapprove of the PPACA.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/obama_and_democrats_health_care_plan-1130.html

  • prosecutor1

    Shorter: Unless the GOP commits hara kiri, and there’s no sign thus far, it’s going to be a wave election.

  • moderate Guy

    Let’s just put something in perspective, here. While Bush’s “problems” were blown out of proportion by media working full time as the Demokrat Party propaganda machine, those of Obama are real and inflicting serious harm to Americans and American interest world-wide.
    No economic growth, six years running.
    Net jobs lower than before Obama started “helping”; in fact lower percentage of working Americans today than any time since 1979, before Reagan Revolution.
    Lower median pay then before Obama started “helping”.
    Increasing energy and food costs.
    Skyrocketing health care insurance costs.Those with health care insurance losing access to doctors, needed treatments and pre3scription drugs.
    Increasing racial tensions in America, while the “president” and his officials openly play the racialist cards for petty partisan advantage.
    Increased use of government agencies for political, partisan purposes.

    American interests and allies being under attack world-wide, without serious American response. Increasing crises in Eastern Europe; Middle East in flames; tensions in Asia; military victories in Iraq and Afganistan being squandered.
    American military being hollowed out, military personnel being used for social engineering experiments.

    The space program in shambles.
    And the divide between “red” America and “blue” America jelling into concrete.

    • Black_Saint

      Well stated! It is remarkable that facts have little or no sway with voters of either party. Most put party before country that is why this country is disintegrating more and more every day.

  • Black_Saint

    As long as Democrats can buy votes with tax payer,s money and import poverty by the millions so there is even more votes for purchase there is no hope for this Nation…except as a Third World Slum and that is where we are headed at warp speed.

  • bflat879

    There’s one big difference this White House has that Bush’s didn’t, the press. Pravda and Izvestia are never going to join in on a “Culture of Corruption” line the Democrats were pushing then, for this group of Republicans. I can remember Pelosi being on the news day in and day out saying the same thing and the press just letting her get away with it and never asking what she’d do if she were Speaker of the House.

    We, of course, know what she’d do, she’ ram a healthcare bill down our throats if she could.

  • Whit_Chambers

    The one thing the Democrats can always count on, and that is the complete and utter stupidity of the Democrat base of voters.

    Those morons are have NO clue what is happening to them and they will do what they are told.

    They will pull the lever for their Democrat masters and crawl back to the housing project without realizing that they just voted to further enslave themselves.

  • Jerome Barry

    Stuart Rothenberg, Do you realize you just said that the “worst possible outcome” would be leaving Democrats with only Barack Obama as a leader and exemplar of their policies and abilities going into the next election cycle? Four more years of this, anyone?

  • Jack Reacher

    Obama’s delusions are a menace to mankind.

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