Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
February 13, 2016

Ratings Change: Illinois’ 10th District

Dold is waging a comeback bid in Illinois. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Dold is waging a comeback bid in Illinois. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Illinois’ 10th District was drawn by Democrats to elect a Democrat, and it did just that in 2012 when Brad Schneider defeated GOP Rep. Robert Dold.

But Schneider won very narrowly, 50.6 percent to 49.4 percent, a margin of a slightly more than 3,000 votes out of 264,000 cast. And he did it with President Barack Obama running at the top of the ballot. This year, Obama is not on the ballot, he’s more unpopular and Dold is running again.

This race likely won’t be decided by money. Both men should be able to raise and spend enough money to compete.

But it will likely be decided by Democrats’ ability to define Dold as being too conservative for the district, and Republicans banking on Schneider not yet being entrenched in the suburban Chicago territory.

This race could go down to the wire once again. We’re changing our Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call rating of the race from Leans Democrat to Tossup/Tilts Democrat.

  • Nick10

    The drawing of IL Districts. There’s more. After each Census IL population has to give up a District to another state. So there is a lot of district drawing after the Census. The years were 2012, 2002, 1992, etc.

  • Mr. G. G. Garcia

    I haven’t seen any polling data on the 17th District in Illinois, Bustos vs Schilling. I understand they are neck and neck even after the gerrymandering of the district to give Democrats a 6% edge. Republicans can win this one. Yet I do not see his name among the ones Congressional Republicans are backing to win. Bobby Schilling is a far better candidate than he was 2 years ago. Bustos’s campaign received 1 million dollars before the primaries. And Republicans are supposed to be the party of the rich ! Well, Bobby Schilling needs to match or exceed Cheri Bustos’s campaign spending. The district needs a stronger voice, not an echo, in the U.S. House of Representatives. Cheri Bustos is riding on Durbin’s coattails. I would like to see both Durbin and Bustos go down to defeat in November.

  • Plutark Heavensbee

    To preserve freedom, we must understand that democratic processes cannot alone guarantee the security of life, liberty, and property.

  • teapartyidiots

    Except that Dold really isn’t too conservative for the district. He’s like Mark Kirk, not a tea partier.

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