Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
February 11, 2016

Ratings Change: New York’s 18th District

Maloney is a Democrat from New York. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Maloney is a Democrat from New York. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

By the numbers, New York’s 18th District isn’t solid-blue Democratic territory. But at this stage of the cycle, GOP optimism about defeating Democratic Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney is very low. And that lack of enthusiasm could indicate that former Rep. Nan Hayworth, a Republican, won’t get much financial support from outside groups for the stretch run this fall.

President Barack Obama won the district twice, but with just 52 percent in 2008 and 51 percent in 2012. Last cycle, Maloney defeated Hayworth by a narrow margin, 52 percent to 48 percent.

Hayworth is running again, reported $500,000 in her campaign account at the end of the year, and has put some personal money into her past races. But the former congresswoman isn’t running the type of campaign that is inspiring confidence among some GOP strategists. Also, Maloney, who had $1.1 million in his campaign account at the end of December, has avoided serious missteps in his first term.

It’s possible that the national electoral dynamic starts to shift this race back in the GOP’ favor. But for now, we’re moving the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call race rating of New York’s 18th District to Currently Safe for Democrats from Democrat Favored.

  • Patrick

    Nothing has happened in this race to warrant the ratings change. To say that GOP strategists are not enthusiastic about her campaign is not true, she was named to the Young Guns program by the NRCC.

  • teapartyidiots

    Yes, but she’s still far more conservative than the district as a whole. Someone like former rep. Saland would have a much better shot here.

    • Mercyneal

      I iive in Dutchess County, in her district and believe you me, it is VERY conservative.

  • Mark Uss

    Equality before the law is in eternal conflict with the notions of subjective wealth redistribution and centralized control of collectivism.

  • Poindexter718

    In her first term, Nan Hayworth proved a loyal foot soldier for the nihilist tea party wing of the House and their governance by extortion agenda.
    I will never forget seeing my Congresswoman, who represents a district full of moderates, standing on the Capitol steps behind Reps. Gohmert (R-Pyle) and Bachmann (R-Krazy Overdrive) and nodding her head dutifully as they rattled off their list of demands for not defaulting on the nation’s debt. Hayworth is out of step with those she aspires to represent. She only came within 4 points last time because outside groups ran a barrage of misleading TV ads on her behalf.
    Those groups won’t be back, nor will she.

  • Stephen Hopkins

    Sean will will be toast in November! He just lost the Independence Line!

  • Stephen Hopkins

    He has supported Obama down the line…a losing proposition for November!

  • Mercyneal

    Hayworth just defeated Maloney in the Independent primary yesterday.

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