Roll Call: Latest News on Capitol Hill, Congress, Politics and Elections
February 9, 2016

Posts in "Polls"

January 28, 2016

Bernie’s Big Day in D.C.


Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders speaks during a media gaggle in Des Moines, Iowa, on Jan. 26. (Photo By Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders speaks during a media gaggle in Des Moines, Iowa, on Jan. 26. (Photo By Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders had a big, but mixed day in Washington Wednesday, meeting one-on-one with President Barack Obama at the White House, but also getting blasted by another key Democrat, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, who criticized the presidential hopeful’s health care plan as unrealistic.

Just days before the crucial Iowa caucuses, Sanders also got a chance to reversee a previous stand on gun legislation, as Democrats on Capitol Hill pushed to roll back a 2005 law that protects firearms manufacturers from liability when their guns are used to commit crimes. Full story

January 26, 2016

‘Big Men': Is Trump America’s Berlusconi?


Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks in front of a wax statue of John Wayne during a news conference at the John Wayne Museum on Jan. 19 in Winterset, Iowa. (Photo By Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks in front of a wax statue of John Wayne during a news conference at the John Wayne Museum on Jan. 19 in Winterset, Iowa. (Photo By Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

A wealthy businessman-turned-politician promised his countrymen a “miracle,” serving voters a cocktail of bombastic nationalist rhetoric and boasts about his business acumen.

Prominent publications such as The New York Times branded him “a man of no particular ideology,” who “exploited vague slogans” on the campaign trail. The Economist, Roll Call’s sister publication, called him “a controversial tycoon with few coherent policies,” observing that the man “acts like a businessman who has seen a market niche … and is rushing to fill it.”

One could be excused for believing that man is Donald Trump, the American real estate billionaire who is in the driver’s seat for the Republican presidential nomination. But the politician described above is Silvio Berlusconi in the early 1990s as he sought his first term as Italy’s prime minister. Full story

January 12, 2016

Obama Urges ‘Better Politics’ to Tackle Challenges


UNITED STATES - JANUARY 12 - President Barack Obama speaks during his final State of the Union to a joint session of Congress in the House Chamber on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, Jan. 12, 2016. Behind him Vice President Joe Biden and House Speaker Paul Ryan listen. (Photo By Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

“Democracy does require basic bonds of trust between its citizens,” Obama told Congress and a nationwide audience. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call)

President Barack Obama used his last State of the Union address to prod both Congress and the American people, saying America’s political system needs an overhaul if the country is to successfully tackle a list of “challenges.”

In an unique address to a joint session of Congress, Obama laid out a mostly optimistic vision for a United States, one he said should be followed long after he leaves office to provide “prosperity and security for generations to come.”

Full story

January 11, 2016

The Low Expectations for Obama’s Last SOTU


UNITED STATES - JANUARY 28: President Barack Obama delivers his State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress in Washington on Tuesday, Jan. 28, 2014. (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Obama says he’s optimistic heading into his last State of the Union. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

President Barack Obama says he’s upbeat about his final State of the Union address, but the public might not be there with him.

“I don’t think I’ve ever been more optimistic about a year ahead than I am now,” the president said in a video preview of the speech. His senior aides echoed the party line, saying it will be a different kind of speech, more aspirational; the word “optimistic” seems to be the White House word of the week.

But that optimism isn’t as widely shared as he hopes, at least as measured by the latest Economist/YouGov survey. Full story

By Jason Dick Posted at 5 a.m.
Politics, Polls

December 24, 2015

Amid ISIS Worries, Voters Warm to Obama’s Economy


WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 6: U.S. President Barack Obama addresses the country from the Oval Office on December 6, 2015 in Washington, DC. President Obama is addressing the terrorism threat to the United States and the recent attack in San Bernardino, California. (Photo by Saul Loeb-Pool/Getty Images)

Will Obama get credit for the economy being less of a concern?. (Saul Loeb-Pool/Getty Images)

Polls show voters are giving President Barack Obama higher marks for guiding the economy, but security concerns could be clouding recent snapshots of the electorate’s mindset.

Trends in voters’ collective worries have transformed, for now at least, the 2016 election cycle into one focused in large part on national security and foreign policy issues. In recent months, terrorism has surged to the top of lists of voters’ top concerns nearly 10 months before the presidential and congressional elections. Full story

December 16, 2015

Donald Trump, the Accidental Populist


LAS VEGAS, NV - DECEMBER 14:  Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump gestures as he speaks during a campaign rally at the Westgate Las Vegas Resort & Casino on December 14, 2015 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Donlad Trump is campaigning in Las Vegas a day ahead of the final GOP debate.  (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Trump responds to a cheering crowd of supporters on Tuesday in Las Vegas. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Donald Trump’s brash campaign-trail tactics are an accidental stumble into a brash and unprecedented populist presidential bid rather than the convictions of a true believer, campaign observers say.

Full story

December 14, 2015

Obama Looking for a ‘Mulligan’ on ISIS Speech


WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 03:  U.S. President Barack Obama delivers a statement to the news media after receiving a briefing from his national security team in the Oval Office at the White House December 3, 2015 in Washington, DC. Obama talked about Wednesday's mass shooting in San Bernardino, California, that left 14 people dead and 17 others injured.  (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Obama’s prime-time speech on the war against terror was largely panned. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images File Photo)

The unofficial theme of President Barack Obama’s week is the fight against the Islamic State, but there are questions whether the public will give him a do-over after his recent prime-time address fell flat.

Obama made a rare appearance Monday in the Pentagon briefing room, warning leaders of the group “you’re next” after ticking off a list of their predecessors killed by U.S. and coalition air strikes.

Full story

November 3, 2014

Obama Approval Rating Rises; White House Predicts Democrats Will Keep Senate


The final Obama approval rating before the midterm elections is in — and it isn’t stopping the White House from declaring they expect Democrats to keep control of the Senate tomorrow anyway.

The Gallup daily tracking poll had the approval rating for President Barack Obama rising 1 point Monday to a still-dismal 41 percent. His disapproval rating held steady at 54 percent. As we’ve noted before, Obama’s poll ratings are much worse in many of the battleground states that will decide control of the Senate.

White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest insisted during Monday’s briefing that President Barack Obama expects Democrats to keep the Senate with an argument of helping middle class families and with a strong ground game, which he said “can provide a two to three point margin that could eventually make up the difference.”

Full story

November 2, 2014

Obama Approval Rating Drops Again in Gallup Poll (Updated)


Barack Obama

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated 7:20 p.m. | With two days before Election Day, the Gallup poll has the President Barack Obama’s approval rating approaching the worst of his presidency.

The Gallup daily tracking poll had Obama’s approval rating at just 40 percent, down 3 points from Oct. 30. His disapproval rating held steady Sunday at an ugly 54 percent. It’s worth noting that in many battleground states where control of the Senate will be won or lost, Obama’s poll ratings have been even worse, providing a significant drag on his party’s prospects.

Obama’s campaigning has been confined to strongly blue states where Senate races are not being fiercely contested. On Sunday, with the chamber appearing to be tilting toward the GOP, the president headed to Connecticut for a campaign event for Gov. Dannel P. Malloy and later a campaign event in Philadelphia for Democratic gubernatorial candidate Tom Wolf. Wolf is favored by the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call to win. Malloy’s race is rated a Tossup. (Full race ratings and map).

On Monday, the last day before the elections, Obama tellingly will be ensconced in the West Wing. He has no public events on his public schedule released late Sunday.

President George W. Bush in 2006 had just a 38 percent approval rating when Democrats swept into power, Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank Newport said in a video last week.

Obama’s approval rating is also close to a personal low for him in the RealClearPolitics average.

Newport noted that the president’s approval rating has strongly correlated to the results in midterm elections. President Ronald Reagan had poor poll ratings in the 1982 midterm elections and his party lost significant ground in both chambers.

Obama’s approval rating in 2010 — when Democrats lost the House — was 44 percent, per Gallup.

Obama could set a modern record for midterm-election losses dating back to President Harry S. Truman.

Roll Call Election Map: Race Ratings for Every Seat

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By Steven Dennis Posted at 3:13 p.m.
Polls

October 31, 2014

Obama’s Midterm Approval Rating Among Lowest in Decades


Obama Approval Rating

(Win McNamee/Getty Images News)

President Barack Obama’s approval rating in the Gallup poll ranks near the lowest of any recent president ahead of a midterm election — narrowly topping George W. Bush’s rating in 2006, when Democrats swept into power.

Obama’s Gallup number dipped two points Friday to 41 percent approval in the tracking poll, with 54 percent disapproving — close to his all-time record disapproval of 57 percent lodged a few weeks back. Full story

By Steven Dennis Posted at 2:44 p.m.
Polls

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