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December 22, 2014

Posts in "Polls"

November 3, 2014

Obama Approval Rating Rises; White House Predicts Democrats Will Keep Senate

The final Obama approval rating before the midterm elections is in — and it isn’t stopping the White House from declaring they expect Democrats to keep control of the Senate tomorrow anyway.

The Gallup daily tracking poll had the approval rating for President Barack Obama rising 1 point Monday to a still-dismal 41 percent. His disapproval rating held steady at 54 percent. As we’ve noted before, Obama’s poll ratings are much worse in many of the battleground states that will decide control of the Senate.

White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest insisted during Monday’s briefing that President Barack Obama expects Democrats to keep the Senate with an argument of helping middle class families and with a strong ground game, which he said “can provide a two to three point margin that could eventually make up the difference.”

Full story

November 2, 2014

Obama Approval Rating Drops Again in Gallup Poll (Updated)

obama051514 445x296 Obama Approval Rating Drops Again in Gallup Poll (Updated)

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated 7:20 p.m. | With two days before Election Day, the Gallup poll has the President Barack Obama’s approval rating approaching the worst of his presidency.

The Gallup daily tracking poll had Obama’s approval rating at just 40 percent, down 3 points from Oct. 30. His disapproval rating held steady Sunday at an ugly 54 percent. It’s worth noting that in many battleground states where control of the Senate will be won or lost, Obama’s poll ratings have been even worse, providing a significant drag on his party’s prospects.

Obama’s campaigning has been confined to strongly blue states where Senate races are not being fiercely contested. On Sunday, with the chamber appearing to be tilting toward the GOP, the president headed to Connecticut for a campaign event for Gov. Dannel P. Malloy and later a campaign event in Philadelphia for Democratic gubernatorial candidate Tom Wolf. Wolf is favored by the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call to win. Malloy’s race is rated a Tossup. (Full race ratings and map).

On Monday, the last day before the elections, Obama tellingly will be ensconced in the West Wing. He has no public events on his public schedule released late Sunday.

President George W. Bush in 2006 had just a 38 percent approval rating when Democrats swept into power, Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank Newport said in a video last week.

Obama’s approval rating is also close to a personal low for him in the RealClearPolitics average.

Newport noted that the president’s approval rating has strongly correlated to the results in midterm elections. President Ronald Reagan had poor poll ratings in the 1982 midterm elections and his party lost significant ground in both chambers.

Obama’s approval rating in 2010 — when Democrats lost the House — was 44 percent, per Gallup.

Obama could set a modern record for midterm-election losses dating back to President Harry S. Truman.

Roll Call Election Map: Race Ratings for Every Seat

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By Steven Dennis Posted at 3:13 p.m.
Polls

October 31, 2014

Obama’s Midterm Approval Rating Among Lowest in Decades

sad barry 445x296 Obamas Midterm Approval Rating Among Lowest in Decades

(Win McNamee/Getty Images News)

President Barack Obama’s approval rating in the Gallup poll ranks near the lowest of any recent president ahead of a midterm election — narrowly topping George W. Bush’s rating in 2006, when Democrats swept into power.

Obama’s Gallup number dipped two points Friday to 41 percent approval in the tracking poll, with 54 percent disapproving — close to his all-time record disapproval of 57 percent lodged a few weeks back. Full story

By Steven Dennis Posted at 2:44 p.m.
Polls

October 12, 2014

Obama Approval Rating Bounces Back in Gallup Poll — But It’s Still Bad

obama050914 445x292 Obama Approval Rating Bounces Back in Gallup Poll — But Its Still Bad

Obama improved from the highest disapproval rating of his presidency. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A day after recording his worst-ever disapproval rating in the Gallup daily tracking poll, President Barack Obama’s approval rating improved to merely terrible.

As noted Saturday, Gallup’s poll is notoriously noisy. (Critics repeatedly note that it predicted a President Mitt Romney).

Obama’s Sunday result in the three-day tracker bounced to 42 approval, 54 disapproval from 39 percent approval, 57 disapproval. That’s very close to where he stood in the RealClearPolitics average, and is still sufficiently in the dumps for Democrats to want to avoid making appearances with him.

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Obama: My Policies Are on the Ballot

Unpopular Obama’s New Gig in 2014: Fundraiser-in-Chief

Roll Call Election Map: Race Ratings for Every Seat

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By Steven Dennis Posted at 2:58 p.m.
Polls

October 11, 2014

Record Disapproval for Obama in Gallup Poll (Updated)

sotu tw031 021213 445x309 Record Disapproval for Obama in Gallup Poll (Updated)

Obama hasn’t had a Gallup approval rating over 50 percent since before his State of the Union address in 2013. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Updated 10:15 p.m. | President Barack Obama lodged his worst-ever disapproval Saturday in the Gallup tracking poll — another ominous sign for Democrats scrambling on defense ahead of the midterm elections, which are less than a month away.

While the Gallup tracking poll is notoriously noisy, the 57 percent who disapproved of the president’s performance marked a new high, while his approval rating, at 39 percent, was just a tick above his all-time low.

Obama hit 56 percent disapproval a couple of times in the Gallup tracker during his presidency.

But he’s less popular in the Gallup poll than he was than during either of his elections or the 2010 midterms, when the Democratic House was wiped out.

Obama’s numbers improved Sunday.

Full story

By Steven Dennis Posted at 8:57 p.m.
Polls

September 24, 2014

Obama’s Poll Numbers Underwater for a Year

sotu tw031 021213 445x309 Obamas Poll Numbers Underwater for a Year

It’s been a tough 12 months of poll numbers for Obama. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

President Barack Obama’s Gallup tracking poll numbers are about to hit an ignominious milestone — a solid year with more people disapproving than approving of his performance.

One year ago, Obama’s approval numbers and disapproval numbers were bouncing around. His last positive result came Sept. 23-25, 2013, and 47 percent approved and 46 percent disapproved, according to Gallup’s website.

Then a series of fall crises hit — the government shutdown, the disastrous rollout of Healthcare.gov and Obama’s admission that he failed to keep his “if you like it, you can keep it” promise. Obama hasn’t had a single day above water since then, though he came within a point a couple of times.

And he hasn’t had an approval rating of 51 percent since a May 2013 Gallup poll. Full story

By Steven Dennis Posted at 11:36 a.m.
Polls

June 17, 2014

Poll: Little Support for Sending Combat Troops to Iraq

A new poll by Public Policy Polling shows widespread opposition to the United States sending combat troops to Iraq. Full story

By Steven Dennis Posted at 8:45 a.m.
Iraq, Polls

May 5, 2014

Another Ugly Poll for Obama

These aren’t the poll results President Barack Obama is looking for. A new USA Today/Pew poll has ugly numbers for the president’s Democratic Party ahead of the midterm elections and even uglier figures for the president. Full story

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